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Math lesson plan · 12th grade (Year 13 in England) · 60 minutes

Find normal probabilities with z-scores and technology

Statistics and probability

CCSS HSS.ID.A.4England: A-level Statistics

Objective and success criteria

Students will: Find normal probabilities with z-scores and technology.

  • I can answer questions on today's skill on my own, without help.
  • I can explain each step and say why it works.
  • I can check my answer and spot a mistake.

Before and after

Needs first: Combine regions of a normal curve with the 68–95–99.7 rule; Calculate and use z-scores

Leads to: the next skill in this area.

Materials: Squared paper for charts, Class survey data, Sticky notes for a live chart, Mini whiteboards and pens, Printed student sheet (below).

Warm-up · 6 min

  • Quick retrieval from earlier learning (Combine regions of a normal curve with the 68–95–99.7 rule; Calculate and use z-scores). Students answer on mini whiteboards.
  • Show answers together and note who needs support in the main task.
  1. A test has mean 70 and standard deviation 5. Find the z-score of a mark of 77.5. → 1.5Prompt: z = (x − mean) ÷ standard deviation.
  2. A quantity is normally distributed with mean 42 and standard deviation 2. What percentage of values lie between 36 and 44? → 83.85Prompt: Convert each end to 'number of standard deviations from the mean'.
  3. A factory fills 400 bottles. Volumes are normally distributed with mean 454 ml and standard deviation 20 ml. About how many bottles hold more than 494 ml? → 10Prompt: That value is 2 standard deviations from the mean.

Hook · 6 min

  • Take a quick class survey (favorite fruit, travel to school) and ask what the results tell us.
  • Share the objective: Find normal probabilities with z-scores and technology. Read the success criteria together.

I do: model it · 12 min

  • Work through the example out loud, saying why you do each step, not just what you do.
  • Example: X is normally distributed with mean 153 and standard deviation 20. Find P(X < 134.8) to 3 decimal places.
  • Step 1: z = (134.8 − 153)/20 ≈ −0.91
  • Step 2: P ≈ 0.181
  • Answer: 0.181
  • Pause after each step and ask a student to say what comes next.

We do: guided practice · 12 min

  • Do these together. Students try each step on whiteboards before you reveal it.
  • Use the hints as prompts rather than giving the answer.
  1. X is normally distributed with mean 173 and standard deviation 11. Find P(X < 152.5) to 3 decimal places. → 0.031Prompt: Standardise: z = (x − μ)/σ.
  2. Battery life is normally distributed with mean 271 minutes and standard deviation 13 minutes. Find the probability that a battery lasts between 261 and 293 minutes, to 3 decimal places. → 0.734Prompt: P(a < X < b) = P(X < b) − P(X < a).

You do: independent practice · 17 min

  • Students work on the student sheet. Circulate and check the first two answers of every student early.
  • Students who finish: write a question of their own for a partner, with the answer.

The 8 questions are on the student sheet below, with answers in the key.

Exit ticket · 7 min

  • Two questions on their own. Sort answers into got it / nearly / not yet to plan the next lesson.
  1. Adult heights are normally distributed with mean 184 cm and standard deviation 6 cm. Find P(height > 186 cm) to 3 decimal places. → 0.369Prompt: P(X > x) = 1 − P(X < x).
  2. X is normally distributed with mean 151 and standard deviation 19. Find P(X < 167.7) to 3 decimal places. → 0.81Prompt: Standardise: z = (x − μ)/σ.

Watch out for

  • Forgetting to put data in order before finding the median.
  • Reading a bar's height wrongly when the scale goes up in 2s or 5s.

Support and stretch

Support

  • Review first: Combine regions of a normal curve with the 68–95–99.7 rule.
  • Use concrete materials: squared paper for charts.
  • Give the first step of each question, or a partly worked example to finish.
  • Pair with a confident partner for the guided practice.

Stretch

  • Explain a common mistake in writing and how to fix it.
  • Write a word problem that uses today's skill, then solve a partner's.

Homework and more practice

Free online practice with hints and printable worksheets for this skill: eurekami.com/math/grade-12.

Free lesson plan from eurekami.com/lesson-plan-builder

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Find normal probabilities with z-scores and technology

Name

Date

Score/ 8

  1. Question 1

    X is normally distributed with mean 132 and standard deviation 12. Find P(X < 122) to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

  2. Question 2

    Battery life is normally distributed with mean 181 minutes and standard deviation 24 minutes. Find the probability that a battery lasts between 138 and 190 minutes, to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

  3. Question 3

    Adult heights are normally distributed with mean 174 cm and standard deviation 8 cm. Find P(height > 183 cm) to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

  4. Question 4

    X is normally distributed with mean 123 and standard deviation 15. Find P(X < 118.4) to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

  5. Question 5

    Battery life is normally distributed with mean 260 minutes and standard deviation 18 minutes. Find the probability that a battery lasts between 231 and 285 minutes, to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

  6. Question 6

    Adult heights are normally distributed with mean 187 cm and standard deviation 5 cm. Find P(height > 189 cm) to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

  7. Question 7

    X is normally distributed with mean 117 and standard deviation 5. Find P(X < 124.8) to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

  8. Question 8

    Battery life is normally distributed with mean 164 minutes and standard deviation 18 minutes. Find the probability that a battery lasts between 152 and 181 minutes, to 3 decimal places.

    Answer

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Answer key: Find normal probabilities with z-scores and technology

  1. 1. 0.202

  2. 2. 0.61

  3. 3. 0.13

  4. 4. 0.38

  5. 5. 0.864

  6. 6. 0.345

  7. 7. 0.941

  8. 8. 0.575